Flipping to La Niña
90% chance El Niño dissipates by June

El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator, demonstrated in this graphic.
El Niño is characterised with above-average temperatures around the sea surface near the equator. The heat is well identified on the map by the red colours. - © picture alliance

The chances of the El Niño phenomenon dissipating by the end of May are now at 90%.

That is according to the national weather bureau of Japan, who also say that La Niña, the cooler side of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has a 60% chance of returning by November.

Learn more on this phenomenon with this special report by Weather & Radar's Tamsin Green.

Faster La Niña & El Niño swingsread more
Ryan Hathaway
More on the topic
Icy spells in the Southern Hemisphere. Snow in the Andes. . . Tuesday, 28 July 2026
UV levels peak with the heat today. Latest heatwave. . . Wednesday, 29 July 2026
Floods and landslides in parts of Asia. An unusual monsoon. . . Wednesday, 29 July 2026
All weather news
This might also interest you
A frozen start to the weekend. Icy conditions. . . Friday, 13 February 2026
Flooding, gales, and heavy snow. Storm Chandra. . . Tuesday, 27 January 2026
Turbulent weather in the Canary Islands. Storm and rain. . . Friday, 12 December 2025
All articles

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

tikToklinkList