Home
Weather London
WeatherRadar
RainfallRadar
TemperatureRadar
WindRadar
LightningRadar
Weather News
Editor's Pick
Discover the app
Weather widget
Contact us
Apps
Career
    Home / Editor's Pick /

    La Niña watch is in effect, what changes it will bring to our weather

10:00
19 February 2024

Changes to our weather
La Niña likely on the way!

Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies Feb. 7, 2024

Significant changes in weather across the globe will be possible later this year as our strong El Niño pattern could give way to La Niña.

Our current El Niño pattern is among the strongest on record, but an emerging La Niña is likely around the corner.

Forecasters at the National Weather Service have issued a La Niña watch and project that there is a 55% chance that this pattern will develop by August.

Privacy Policy

What El Niño and La Niña patterns mean for our weather

Before we discuss what this changeover from El Niño to La Niña means for our weather, it's essential to understand the difference between these two patterns.

El Niño and La Niña are opposite phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle, a natural climate pattern that occurs in the tropical Pacific Ocean.

El Niño is characterized by warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific, which can lead to changes in global weather patterns, such as increased rainfall in some areas and droughts in others. In contrast,

La Niña is marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the same region, resulting in different atmospheric conditions that can cause opposite effects, such as increased rainfall in some regions and droughts or cooler temperatures in others.

Rare 'Super' El Niño

This winter's El Niño has been unusual due to its strength. From November to January, sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific were 2°C warmer than average, a threshold that has only been reached six times before (with the last being in 2015-2016).

This threshold indicates that this winter's El Niño has been exceptionally strong, putting it in rare "Super El Niño" territory.

This "Super El Niño" pattern may have contributed to recent deadly fires in South America, a warmer-than-average winter for the U.S.'s northern tier, and the recent flooding in California.

What we may see with a La Niña

Forecasters believe that this winter's El Niño has peaked and that sea-surface temperatures in the central Pacific will rapidly cool over the next several weeks, with now a 79% chance of the Pacific dropping below El Niño status in April. La Niña could be here as soon as this summer or, more likely, by fall.

La Niña is known for encouraging active and destructive Atlantic hurricane seasons and promoting drier conditions in the Southwest and southern California.

First year-long breach of 1.5°C limitread more

One possible benefit of La Niña development is that it could help tamper down rapidly rising global temperatures by promoting cooler global conditions, at least temporarily. While a La Niña watch is in effect, it does not guarantee that this pattern will develop.

Weather & Radar editorial team
More on the topic
A heatwave is on the way in Europe. Is El Niño to blame?. . . Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Split image showing a Europe temperature map with widespread red heatwave conditions and temperatures above 30 C on the left, and an El Niño ocean temperature anomaly map of the Pacific Ocean on the right with a broad band of unusually warm water along the equator.
Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Is El Niño to blame?

A heatwave is on the way in Europe
Rainbows shine on unsettled week. Your weather - Your shots. . . Sunday, 14 June 2026
Split image showing a pastel rainbow above a lighthouse and harbor wall on the left, and an offshore wind farm stretching across the sea beyond green coastal farmland on the right.
Sunday, 14 June 2026

Your weather - Your shots

Rainbows shine on unsettled week
Record-breaking June heatwave in Europe. Almost 40 degrees. . . Friday, 19 June 2026
A Europe-wide temperature map showing widespread temperatures of 30 to over 40 degrees. Warning symbols indicate extreme heat across Central Europe, France and the Iberian Peninsula.
Friday, 19 June 2026

Almost 40 degrees

Record-breaking June heatwave in Europe
All weather news
This might also interest you
Mixed conditions on an unsettled week. Your weather - Your shots. . . Sunday, 2 November 2025
plit image showing a double rainbow over a rocky shoreline on the left and sheep grazing in a green field under stormy clouds on the right.
Sunday, 2 November 2025

Your weather - Your shots

Mixed conditions on an unsettled week
Bright and warm conditions take hold. Spring-like outlook. . . Thursday, 23 April 2026
Split UK map showing warm temperatures up to 21 degrees in orange on the left and clear sunny conditions with temperatures from 12 to 18 degrees on the right, with sun icons across the country.
Thursday, 23 April 2026

Spring-like outlook

Bright and warm conditions take hold
A frozen start to the weekend. Icy conditions. . . Friday, 13 February 2026
UK temperature map dated 14.02 showing widespread subzero values in blue shading, with readings such as −4 in Glasgow, −3 in Dublin, and −2 in London, alongside a blue thermometer icon.
Friday, 13 February 2026

Icy conditions

A frozen start to the weekend
All articles
Weather & Radar

Weather & Radar is also available on

Google Play StoreApp Store

Company

Contact us Privacy Policy Legal info Accessibility statement

Services

Uploader

Socials

facebooktwittertikToklinkList